Friday, March 7, 2008

Stat Attack: Lorena, Just Like Tiger

I wanted to show just the level of domination that Lorena Ochoa is exhibiting on the LPGA Tour over the past season or so. With her 11 shot win in Singapore, I thought it was about time to prove that she is doing the same thing as Tiger is on the PGA Tour. Here's the data to back those claims.

First, let's talk about margin of victory for each player over their last 9 wins.

Player Event Margin
Lorena Ochoa Safeway Intl. Presented by Coca-Cola 2
Lorena Ochoa Sybase Classic 3
Lorena Ochoa Wegmans LPGA 1 (Playoff)
Lorena Ochoa Ricoh Women's British Open 4
Lorena Ochoa CN Canadian Women's Open 3
Lorena Ochoa Safeway Classic 5
Lorena Ochoa Samsung World Championship 4
Lorena Ochoa ADT Championship 2 (Format)
Lorena Ochoa HSBC Women's Champions 11
Tiger Woods Buick Invitational 2
Tiger Woods WGC CA Championship 2
Tiger Woods Wachovia Championship 2
Tiger Woods WGC Bridgestone Invitational 8
Tiger Woods PGA Championship 2
Tiger Woods BMW Championship 2
Tiger Woods TOUR Championship 8
Tiger Woods Buick Invitational 8
Tiger Woods WGC Accenture Match Play 8&7 (Format)

With a little bit of statistical work (averaging), we can see that their wins do not look all that different.

Lorena Ochoa AVERAGE MARGIN LAST 9 4.00
Tiger Woods AVERAGE MARGIN LAST 8 STROKE PLAY 4.25

That comparison only draws yet another similarity between the records of Woods and Ochoa. For some more eerie likeness, check out these numbers.

Lorena Ochoa POINTS LEAD IN WORLD RANKING 7.96
Tiger Woods POINTS LEAD IN WORLD RANKING 10.70



Lorena Ochoa FACTOR LEAD OVER 2nd PLACE 1.90
Tiger Woods FACTOR LEAD OVER 2nd PLACE 2.05



Lorena Ochoa WINNING % OVER LAST YR + '08 34.60%
Tiger Woods WINNING % OVER LAST YR + '08 50.00%

The only huge difference for the two of them is winning percentage, and the clip of 35% is still nothing to scoff at by any stretch. Just goes to show you that there is another player like Tiger right now in the world. It also just happens that the player is a woman.

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